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One-Sixth of Bitcoin Remains on Centralised Exchanges

IFCCI Research · Market Analysis23 February 2026

Exchange Custody Remains Significant

Recent data indicate that approximately one in six Bitcoin (BTC) remains held on centralised exchanges, even after the collapse of FTX reshaped market trust dynamics.

The figure highlights the continued structural role that exchanges play in liquidity provision, derivatives trading, and institutional access, despite heightened awareness of custodial risk.

Post-FTX Behavioural Shift — But Not Exodus

Following FTX’s collapse, the market witnessed substantial outflows from centralised platforms into:

  • Self-custody wallets
  • Cold storage solutions
  • Institutional custodians

However, the persistence of a sizeable on-exchange BTC supply suggests that:

  • Active trading demand remains strong
  • Liquidity concentration is still exchange-centric
  • Derivatives markets require exchange-based collateral

Rather than a full retreat from centralised platforms, the shift appears to be a recalibration of risk management practices.

Liquidity vs Security Trade-Off

Bitcoin held on exchanges serves practical purposes:

  • Immediate execution access
  • Margin and derivatives collateral
  • Arbitrage efficiency
  • Cross-asset portfolio rebalancing

By contrast, self-custody enhances security but reduces liquidity flexibility. Market participants continue to balance these competing priorities.

Institutional Participation Matters

Institutional involvement has grown steadily in recent cycles. Institutions typically require:

  • Regulated custody frameworks
  • Transparent proof-of-reserves disclosures
  • Segregation of client assets

The survival of exchange-held BTC levels suggests that professional traders and market makers continue to rely on centralised infrastructure.

Market Structure Implications

The proportion of BTC held on exchanges influences:

  • Available sell-side liquidity
  • Volatility sensitivity
  • Potential supply shocks during stress events

Lower exchange reserves can tighten float and amplify price movements during high demand. Conversely, higher exchange balances may increase near-term liquidity but also potential selling pressure.

Confidence and Transparency Evolution

Post-FTX, exchanges have increasingly adopted:

  • Proof-of-reserves reporting
  • Third-party audits
  • Risk disclosure enhancements

While confidence has not fully reverted to pre-collapse levels, market participants appear to differentiate between platforms based on governance and transparency standards.

IFCCI Assessment: Structural Reliance Persists

The IFCCI Research Division assesses that the presence of roughly one-sixth of Bitcoin on centralised exchanges reflects enduring structural dependence on trading infrastructure.

Key observations:

  • Self-custody adoption has increased but stabilised
  • Exchange liquidity remains essential for price discovery
  • Market trust has shifted toward selective platform reliance

The ecosystem has evolved toward greater risk awareness rather than wholesale abandonment of centralised custody.

Conclusion

Despite the profound impact of FTX’s collapse, approximately one in six Bitcoin remains on centralised exchanges. The data indicate that while trust dynamics have shifted, the foundational role of exchanges in liquidity provision and market functioning persists.

The balance between security and accessibility continues to shape Bitcoin custody trends in 2026.

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